Wednesday, September 29, 2004

Who's Stupider Now?
Bill O'Reilly and "stoned slackers"

Poor Bill O'Reilly. . . Jon Stewart is going to have a field day with this:
The folks at Comedy Central were annoyed when Fox News Channel's Bill O'Reilly kept referring to "The Daily Show" audience as "stoned slackers."

So they did a little research. And guess whose audience is more educated?

Viewers of Jon Stewart's show are more likely to have completed four years of college than people who watch "The O'Reilly Factor," according to Nielsen Media Research.
Now before we get all out of sorts, it should be mentioned that the comment was given - and taken - as nothing more than a joking comment.
Comedy Central executives realized, and O'Reilly acknowledged, that he was poking fun. But they said they didn't want a misconception to persist.
And there we have it. Jon Stewart will have his turn on October 7th, when Bill O'Reilly will appear on The Daily Show.

Jerusalem priests brawl over opening of Holy Sepulcher door
Two go in: ONE COMES OUT!

Now this would end the schism in short order:
Dozens of people, including several Israeli police officers, were lightly hurt in the brawl at the shrine, which is built over the spot where tradition says Jesus was crucified and buried. Jerusalem police spokesman Shmulik Ben-Ruby said four priests were detained.

Custody at the Church of the Holy Sepulcher is shared by several denominations that jealously guard territory and responsibilities under a fragile deal hammered out over several centuries. Any perceived encroachment on one group's turf can lead to vicious feuds, some of which have also lasted centuries.
No word on who won the fight, but the history of the Holy Sepulcher has been interesting. In the front of the entrance there is a small court, to which the Greek Orthodox own the court, while the Franciscans own the steps leading up to the court. During the 18th century, two Franciscans were standing on the step, and the Orthodox told them to move. The Franciscans refused. An argument broke out, and the Franciscans were shot and killed. The problem? The courtyard isn't exactly even, so the step the Franciscans were standing upon disappeared into the sloping courtyard. So is it a step, or a part of the courtyard?

One might think it is silly to fight over the Holy Sepulcher, but in another aspect it is quite amazing that people fight over every stone. The attachment to the land it that strong. As Americans in a disposable society we might not get it, but in the Holy Land it makes perfect sense.

St. Joseph's should send the Franciscans in question some gear. Of course, I wonder whether this will become a tradition, scuffling in front of the Sepulcher? Either that, or the Franciscans and Orthodox are going to start finding some rather large, burly vocations to the priesthood.

City official: Expos will move to D.C. next year
Texas Rangers still own the name "Washington Senators"

Speaking anonymously, it seems as if Washington will indeed become the next home of the Montreal Expos:
A city official, speaking on condition of anonymity, said Washington has been notified by Major League Baseball of the impending announcement that will return the national pastime to the nation's capital for the first time in 33 years.
Unfortunately, it looks as if the Texas Rangers still own the copyright to the Washington Senators name; to which I say they should either immediately surrender the copyright in the name of good baseball.

Or, failing that, we should find enough enterprising attorneys to claim the name as public domain.

Thanks to Jay both for the link, and for the excellent idea of going in for season tickets! GO SENATORS!

Tuesday, September 28, 2004

Wanna see some good poll numbers?

Click here.

Monday, September 27, 2004

Sign Theives Strike Again!

The resurgence of a particular pet peeve of mine:
Where Bush-Cheney signs outnumber Kerry-Edwards, a contentious harmony prevailed among these political animals. Until recently. Norbert Gernes isn't alone. At least seven of his neighbors have had their Kerry signs stolen. And returned, well done. But Kim Ross did something else. She set up her video camera at the window, and kept it rolling. And yesterday, as the storm winds moved in, so did the sign bandits. Driving by in a white S-U-V, they're scared off by a neighbor mowing the yard. Another pass. 30 seconds later, they move in, a teenager jumps out, grabs the sign, and they're off. And Eden Prairie is not alone.
That's dumb, and its a misdemeanor. Don't do it.

Sunday, September 26, 2004

Rome: Total War

Neither my desktop nor my laptop meets the basic requirements to play Rome: Total War. Yes, it is that traumatic of a personal event to post here.

For those of you who do not know what R:TW is, go to the Rome: Total War website and check out some of the neat features here. Anyone with even a remote interest in the period should take a look.

Let's see if I can convince Mrs. Kenney that we need a new computer just to play my silly game. . .

Battling for Iraq
"It will not be easy, but few worthwhile things are."

Excellent words from U.S. Army Lt. Gen. David H. Petraeus, and well worth considering the next time someone mistakenly argues Iraq is falling into chaos.

Dad never 'cut a hog'; I wish he'd applied same policy to 'withes'
Of pigs, character, and 'withes'

"Withes," for those of us native to this part of Virginia, are switches. Switches, for those not native to Virginia or our southern neighbors, is a small branch of a tree used to spank a child.

Most consider the practice barbaric today, but for many folks it was a macabre right of passage. Quite a few of my friends from Caroline County and such can tell you vivid tales of being asked to pick their own switch.

A refined art indeed. Novitiates pick one with a small leaf on the top (which was promptly picked off by the individual dealing the damage). Smarter children would pick ones with leaves that were attached to the stem that took a great deal of time to peel off. . . which always held the threat of being sent back out to pick another one before they picked one for you. Experts in the field would find thin ones that had just enough weight to be considered a switch, but bent ever so slightly as to take the sting out.

It was a complicated science, one that modern sensibilities revile.

So when I read FLS editor Paul Akers editorial this morning, I was rather pleased to read his musings on fatherhood, withes, and pig wrestling - not to mention a small dose of sage political advice:
In politics, for example, my dad never voted for a Republican because, even if he admitted the GOP candidate were 'a good man,' helping him get elected would 'take a spoke out of the wheel,' the metaphor implying that the Democratic Party rolled the general welfare forward. So adamantly did my father believe this that as a young man outside a polling precinct, he and his brothers 'jumped on' some boastful Republicans.
When Ike, whom my father admired, ran for president on the GOP ticket, Dad voted for Adlai Stevenson, unenthusiastically but twice, on the ad hoc rationale that it was dangerous to elevate 'a military man' to the presidency. (Right, Dad. Remember what a horrible leader George Washington was.)

His son, meanwhile, has seldom voted for a Democrat, though were I my dad's contemporary, I probably would have supported FDR and certainly Truman. (Would my dad, who died before the McGovernization of the Democratic Party, have cast a ballot for Nixon? Reagan? It's hard to imagine, but who knows?)

No, the paternal criterion I mean concerns character. One thing my father had was a quiet dignity, the adjective infusing the noun. I never, ever saw him make a public scene--what the old black ballplayers called cutting a hog. When another's rudeness might have provoked a justified verbal retaliation, my dad held his peace, got the kind of look on his face you get when you're out to eat and you open the restroom door to a dirty toilet, and silently walked away, not out of fear but in recognition of the First Rule of Pigs: Never wrestle with a pig; he likes it and you get dirty.
Now my grandfather had a different take on the matter of "pig wrestling." Reputation being the most honored and cherished item an individual could have, I can remember talk of "fighting battles that needed to be fought" and "don't fight with people who have nothing to lose." My own father would probably tell me never to fight, but if I did, I'd better win.

What raised my eyebrow just a bit was the idea that societal pigs may or may not deserve to be wrestled. Sometimes - most of the time - pigs don't deserve the recognition, and to that much I can agree. But in the back of my mind, something tells me that to permit an error of offensiveness without challenge, while we are all free to commit it and are all guilty of at times, only encourages more of the same. That's where the switch inevitably comes into play.

There's a small part of me though that argues from the perspective of those who can't stand to see good people maligned by the pigs of society. Take for instance John F. Kennedy Jr. when he was on honeymoon with Caroline Bassett. It's not that I follow all things Kennedy, but there was an instance when one of the photographers (paparazzi?) barked at one of the female photographers swarming around Kennedy, calling her a "bitch."

JFK Jr. spun around, found the guy, and clocked him, yelling something along the lines of whether his mother would be proud of such language. Wrestling with pigs? Perhaps. But I'm sure it didn't hurt JFK Jr.'s image any.

Just as in the manner of the quickly fading art of picking switches, yielding the public square to the lowest common denominator does something wholly negative to society.

Modern sensibilities may tell us the best way to replace bad speech is with good speech, and the marketplace of ideas will eventually weed out the garbage. Perhaps I, being some 25 years younger than the author, I have yet to learn the full value of passive resistance and public disdain. It has it's place to be sure, but sometimes you have to pick your own switch, and occasionally go after a few pigs.

Friday, September 24, 2004

"Don't cry! I'll be your best friend today."

Jonathan was talking with Missy in the car today, mentioning some kid in grey that would always cry. Missy told him that he should do something to make him feel better and be his friend.

So Jonathan went to preschool today and, true to form, the child in question cried when his parent left.

Jonathan went right up to the boy, gave him a big hug and said "Don't cry, I'll be your best friend today!" And according to the teachers, he was.

There are times when you hear parents talk about how proud they are of their children. Graduations, sporting events, and such. Today Jonathan is asleep in my chair, and I am immensely proud of my son today.

Thursday, September 23, 2004

Teresa Heinz-Kerry "Embarassed" to Receive Tax Cuts

This kind of rhetoric just kills me. Teresa Heinz-Kerry feels embarassed to have received tax cuts:
She said she was embarrassed to receive tax cuts advocated by Bush and supports her husband's efforts to roll them back for higher incomes and use those funds for education, health care and deficit reduction.
In which case, I politely invite her to donate her tax cut back to the government. To my knowledge, there's no law preventing her from doing this, is there?

Wednesday, September 22, 2004

The Caroline Republican Committee!

Caroline County is the other half of home (grew up both in the City and near Blanton's Corner). So when I heard the Caroline County GOP finally posted a website, I was moved.

Sure it's modest, but I'm impressed nonetheless! On to victory guys!

Zogby Interactive: Presidential Election a Dead Heat
National average tells another story

Much ado this morning about the latest Zogby poll:
The race for President of the United States continued to tighten during the last two weeks, as President Bush continued his long, hard slog back toward parity with Democratic challenger John Kerry, throwing the race into a virtual dead heat, the latest package of polls by Zogby interactive shows.
Now this may offer courage to some (I personally put a lot of stock in Zogby polling and methodology), but let's take a look at the national composite.

Real Clear Politics offers a very damning conclusion for Kerry hopefuls. National averages show Bush with a 6% lead over Kerry. What's more interesting is if you check out the previous poll numbers. Just last week, Pew Research was offering Bush a 16% lead over Kerry; magically that number has dropped to a 1% lead this week. Ironically, CBS News polling has shown a consistent lead of 7-9 points.

So who do we believe? I'd go with the 6%, but trending towards Zogby. After the presidential debates, I think we will see a new John Kerry, and attention spans in America only being two weeks long, it won't take long for the Dems to reinvigorate themselves. . . if and only if the infighting in the Kerry campaign stops and brings the Clinton operatives to the forefront. We shall see.

Monday, September 20, 2004

Kerry Says He Wouldn't Have Ousted Saddam
Voting for Saddam before he votes against him. . .

I'm sorry, but I think this man needs a new shovel:
Staking out new ground on Iraq, Sen. John Kerry said Monday he would not have overthrown Saddam Hussein had he been in the White House, and he accused President Bush of 'stubborn incompetence,' dishonesty and colossal failures of judgment. Bush said Kerry was flip-flopping.

Less than two years after voting to give Bush authority to invade Iraq, the Democratic candidate said the president had misused that power by rushing to war without the backing of allies, a post-war plan or proper equipment for U.S. troops. 'None of which I would have done,' Kerry said.

'Saddam Hussein was a brutal dictator who deserves his own special place in hell,' he added. 'But that was not, in itself, a reason to go to war. The satisfaction we take in his downfall does not hide this fact: We have traded a dictator for a chaos that has left America less secure.'
Keep digging that hole, Senator. . .

New York: Kerry 49% Bush 44%
. . .but is it solid?

Bush is doing extraordinarily well in several key states. Up by nine in Ohio, five in Pennsylvania, five in Nevada, only one point in West Virginia, and within striking distance in New Jersey. Surprisingly enough, Bush is within striking distance in New York of all places:
John Kerry's lead in New York is down to single digits. The Empire State, among the bluest of the Blue States from Election 2000, is still in the Kerry column for our Electoral College projections, but the raw numbers are stunning.
Now I suspect Rasmussen polls as being somewhat inaccurate. But given the residual effects of 9/11 and a good deal of backlash against the NYC protests during the GOP convention, it wouldn't surprise me if this poll were legitimate.

This is starting to look like a potential landslide victory for President Bush, although I can almost guarentee that we will see a different election after the debates.

Saturday, September 18, 2004

At The Front: No Doom And Gloom Here
"The momentum is moving in our favor"

Much ado has been made about the July 2004 NIE and it's leak to the general populace, not to mention the dark assessment therein. This having been said, a U.S. Army major in Baghdad has an update on the security situation in Iraq that is, to say the least, eyeopening:
From where I sit, at the Operational Headquarters in Baghdad, that just isn't the case. Let's lay out some background, first about the"National Intelligence Estimate." The most glaring issue with its relevance is the fact that it was delivered to the White House in July. That means that the information that was used to derive the intelligence was gathered in the Spring - in the immediate aftermath of the April battle for Fallujah, and other events. The report doesn't cover what has happened in July or August, let alone September.
Excellent. Read on.

Friday, September 17, 2004

More of the Politics of Rage. . .
Kerry supporters causes $5,000 Canadian dollars worth in damage

Yet another instance of a Kerry supporter going off the deep end:
Husar boarded Flight 849 in Minneapolis on his way from New York to visit some friends in Alaska, his wife, Linda, said yesterday. Officials said Husar, a supporter of Sen. John Kerry, was engaged in a discussion on the upcoming presidential election with a woman seated next to him - a President George W. Bush supporter - when she became turned off by his belligerent attitude and complained to the flight staff.

The woman also did not like that Husar would touch her leg and shoulder when he spoke to her, authorities said. Corona said Husar had 'had a few drinks.'

Russell Ridd, supervising senior crown attorney for the Manitoba Justice Department, said that when flight attendants approached Husar, he became enraged, deliberately spilling a container of alcohol and engaging in 'the boisterous behavior of a drunk.'
Now some might argue that this happens on both sides. If so, I'd appreciate instances where Bush supporters are attacking small children and causing thousands of dollars in damages to property.

This shouldn't be considered mere cheap shots. Events such as these illustrate a tangible rage amongst Kerry supporters that is tolerated (if not outright condoned and sanctioned) by the Kerry/Edwards campaign and their collection of 527s.

This most of all is the most disturbing aspect of the Kerry/Edwards campaign - and the #1 reason why they will lose in 2004. Actions such as these simply don't endear you to the general public.

Thursday, September 16, 2004

Bastards

Three-year-old Sophia Parlock cries while seated on the shoulders of her father, Phil Parlock, after having their Bush-Cheney sign torn up by Kerry-Edwards supporters on Thursday, Sept. 16, 2004, at the Tri-State Airport in Huntington, W.Va.
Take a look at the Yahoo! story here.

Few things get me angry - this is one of them.

Wednesday, September 15, 2004

Dick Morris on John Kerry
"Voters don't like him very much"

. . . and the hits just keep on comin'.
The Fox News poll asked Kerry supporters if their vote for the Democrat could best be described as motivated by support for Kerry (41 percent) or by opposition to Bush (51 percent). By contrast, Bush voters emphatically say, by 82-13, that they are voting for the president rather than against the challenger.

This puts Kerry in a tough position in the coming debates. He has no real base of support and any attenuation of the dislike his voters feel for Bush will weaken him substantially. All Bush has to do is to persuade a few Kerry voters to stop disliking him, and he can get their votes. There is no residual affection for the Democrat to get in the way of their switching to the president.
Good point.
Kerry never had time to make America like him. He won the nomination before anyone really got to know him and has coasted on anti-Bush campaigning ever since. Even now, he relies on the old National Guard records of Bush to animate his campaign, as if we are about to form our judgment of how Bush would be as a commander based on 30-year- old, possibly forged records rather than on our own observation of how he has done the job. But Kerry has got to close the most fundamental gap of his candidacy: Voters don't like him very much.
I question whether or not Kerry has had the time to "make America like him." What was he doing the past year or so? I think the more plausible answer is that Kerry simply is not a likeable candidate. He's a radical liberal, an elitist, and out of touch with American values.

In short, it's the Democratic version of Dole/Kemp '96. Hate for a sitting president will not win you the election, especially after such a vicious primary season.

Top Dem Rips Kerry Campaign
Coehlo: “There is nobody in charge."

Heh, heh, heh!:
Longtime Democratic insider Tony Coelho lashed out at the John Kerry presidential campaign, characterizing it as a campaign in chaos. With yet another appointment of a former Clinton administration staffer to Kerry's team on Tuesday, Coelho argues the problem is worsening.

"There is nobody in charge and you have these two teams that are generally not talking to each other," says Coehlo, who ran Al Gore's campaign early in the 2000 presidential race. As Coelho and other detractors see it, there is a civil war within the Kerry campaign.
Of course, this is bad news - not good news. After the debates, expect to see a resurgent, vibrant, and rejuvenated John Kerry; new message and all. How would I do it?

1. Economy. It's strong, but not that strong.
2. Taxes and the Deficit. $450 billion. No brainer.
3. Clinton. Run on the Clinton record, treat him like we treat Reagan. That way, when/if the GOP hits on the Clinton record (and the person of Bill Clinton), we look like the bullies that John Kerry and the Dems currently look like. That's probably the #1 image problem of the Kerry/Edwards campaign - they look like angry, irrational, and visionless radicals.

What should the GOP response be? The war on terror. Reiterate, reiterate, reiterate. Kerry isn't just weak on defense, he's vascillating and fragile. That's going to win the election for Bush, and there's not a lot that the Dems can put forward as an alternative.

Above all else, the Dems need to back off of the National Guard "Rathergate" nonsense. . . unless of course the reason why CBS, the DNC, and the Kerry/Edwards campaign is *not* backing off is because the forged documents came from inside the Kerry campaign. In which case, the Dems can give up right now and focus on applying the tourniquet on Congress. Daschle is down by 3, and the Dems are going to lose seats in a big way if Kerry doesn't start building some cohesion.

Bush Documents? FORGED.

If you need any more evidence that Dan Rather, the DNC, and the Kerry/Edwards campaign all have some explaining to do in terms of their integrity, read this. This is as damning as it gets folks.

Tuesday, September 14, 2004

LP Candidate Badnarik to Speak at UVA

Okay, so I'm interested in this one. Libertarian Michael Badnarik will speak at the University of Virginia's Jefferson Society tonight at 8:00pm.

Sounds like a good time to me!

UPDATE: Maury Hall, Room 209.

Monday, September 13, 2004

Professor says Bush revealed National Guard favoritism

Yeah, and my brother's cousin's sister's nephew's roommate says John Kerry is one of the lizard people.

Gimme a break. . . Clearly someone at the DNC thought this whole forged document thing was a silver bullet - one that failed miserably though some great legwork by the Blogosphere. So the Dems get to pull out all the stops.

I expect a cheap shot in the direction of a nasty cocaine habit. Which raises the question as to why the Dems haven't played that card yet. I suspect it has something to do with the reason why Kerry didn't receive an honorable discharge in 1971. . . hmm. . .

Priests for Life

I like this organization, but they sure could use a better website.

Websites are like brochures and marketing material. I don't understand what possesses people to post bad websites. Hopefully, Priests for Life are in the process of finding someone to do something a bit more professional.

Students fighting for the right to vote
Note to parents - $40K of your money is being spent on producing students such as these

From the idiot file:
In Virginia, Luther Lowe and Serene Alami were told much the same--their campus addresses at the College of William & Mary were deemed 'temporary.'

With so much emphasis on getting young people to the polls this election, the issue of where college students can register to vote is gaining attention. And some students--who believe they should have the right to vote where they live most of the year--are getting organized.
Okay folks, if you live in New Jersey, vote in New Jersey. If you live in Virginia and don't want to live in New Jersey anymore, then transfer your residency.

If you want to vote and are complaining you can't do it at your school, then vote absentee. How hard is that?
Some William & Mary students think that's unfair. They've filed a federal lawsuit demanding the right to vote in their college town and to run for city council.

They say students deserve to have a voice in local issues that directly affect them--housing ordinances, for instance.

"It makes no sense for me to vote in a city election where my parents live," says Lowe, a 22-year-old senior who is represented in the lawsuit. "I live in Williamsburg nine months out of the year."
Sounds like W&M should spend more money on crying towels than registration forms. What a ridiculous idea. I know there isn't much to do in Williamsburg, but come on.

If you want to vote in Virginia, then transfer your residency. Heck, you might even get in-state tuition, saving your parents upwards of $10-15K a year. Of course, that would take a bit of foresight, planning, and effort fellas. . .

Sunday, September 12, 2004

The Rise of GOP Moderates?
. . . or the exhibition of GOP conservativism?

Many folks have made the observation that the RNC Convention in New York was evidence of a rising tide of moderates emerging within the Republican Party. Is it true?

Not in the slightest. National Review editors make a rather astute observation with regards to the convention, illustrating the remarkable divergence in the moderates, and what really binds them together - conservative issues and the overwhelming influence of conservatives within the GOP:
This collection of views is not evidence of a rift within the Republican party. It is evidence that the party is a coalition all of whose members do not agree on all issues - which is what one would expect given that America has two major parties and 300 million people. Republicans must appeal to people who want tax cuts and a war against terrorism but favor legal abortion. They must also appeal to people who are pro-life but favor national health care.

There is a broad Republican consensus on the social issues, and it was not disguised at the convention. Everyone who alluded to abortion was pro-life, and everyone who alluded to same-sex marriage was against it. There is, of course, dissent on these issues. But the pro-choice wing of the party is much weaker than it was only eight years ago. In 1996, Governors Pete Wilson, William Weld, and Christine Todd Whitman sought to change the party's pro-life platform. No such attempt was made this year. Weld and Whitman supported partial-birth abortion and saw their careers limited by it. Most of today's major pro-choice Republican politicians would ban partial-birth abortion. None of them, judging from the convention speeches, thinks it wise to build a career on attempts to change the party's position. They may care about 'abortion rights,' but they appear to care about other issues, such as the war on terrorism, more. Otherwise they would be Democrats.

George Will has suggested that we are witnessing a revival of "Goldwater Republicanism," combining the government-cutting of his 1964 campaign with the social liberalism of his later days. Alas, no Republican politician since 1964 has been as consistently anti-statist as Goldwater was, and this crop of moderates is slightly to the left of the party's center on the role of government. Schwarzenegger is an environmentalist. Giuliani left the high taxes and bureaucracy of New York City largely alone. McCain crusades against pork — a small portion of the federal budget — but is often a proponent of sweeping federal regulations.
In short, what we have here is the definition of "moderate" becoming politicians who agree with the vast majority of conservative issues save one or two. That the moderates find a home in the GOP is testament to the strength of the conservative movement within the Republican Party, for without it the moderates would find little to agree upon.

For that reason alone, the advent of any moderate bloc within the GOP is a preposterous one. I disagree that we are not witnessing an eventual revival of "Goldwater Republicanism," because the anti-statist principles are indeed coming to the fore. Furthermore, the moderates within the GOP certainly are not holding the banner of Barry Goldwater - that is something that conservatives are rediscovering for themselves.

Saturday, September 11, 2004

Bush/Cheney Victory 2004 Rally a Success

A standing room only crowd, three delegates (Cole, Orrock, and McDougle), Speaker Howell. . . and no Free Lance-Star. . .

What's more, there was a massive (and I do mean massive) lit drop afterwards to 5,000 households. That's the very definition of success in my playbook - I don't think I have ever been more proud of the Spotsylvania Republican Committee in my entire life.

Click here for the Bush Cheney Flyer (PDF) Feel free to share it with your friends!

All in all, a terrific day. There's no better way of spending 9/11 than exercising the rights that Americans died for and terrorists want to destroy.

Friday, September 10, 2004

September 10th

Three years ago today, Jonathan made a small plaster of his hand that said "I Love You Daddy" and the date. For whatever reason, when I think of tomorrow, I think back to that plaster.

What bothers me more is that the past two years, the weather was different. Today the air is pretty clear and crisp - exactly like 9/11.

Just rambling. It's a beautiful day outside.

Kerry/Edwards Postpones Media Blitz in Virginia
Cites a "strategic move" as part of the reasoning

Strategic move? Heh. Strategic as in "this beachhead cannot be held."
In a conference call with reporters from Virginia, North Carolina, Arkansas and Louisiana yesterday, Kerry strategist Tad Devine said the decision to pull back advertising in those states is a strategic move, designed to conserve advertising dollars until later in the campaign when voters are more likely to be paying attention.

'We have to take a hard look at Virginia. We're going to do that in the first real wave of post convention polling,' Devine said. 'Virginia is a place we can win, but our commitment to it must be tempered by where the state is in the most contemporary research.'"
Yes Mr. Devine. . . take a hard look at a state where the conservative base is fired up over 9/11 and the largest tax increase in the history of the Commonwealth. Please give us an outlet for our anger. . .

So is Virginia still in play? I can't say with any confidence that Virginia is a lock for Bush, but I can say that the conservative base is awake and ready to fight.

Let it be known that there is no hope for tax and spend politicians in Virginia, and as we Virginian are polite and friendly people, we politely invite John Kerry to fall on his sword as many times as he feels necessary in the Commonwealth.

Thursday, September 09, 2004

Sabato's Crystal Ball

For what it's worth, here is UVA political analyst Larry Sabato's predictions regarding the 2004 Presidential Elections. The call?

Bush 284
Kerry 254

And that's before the GOP convention. I'll take it!

Weather!

If you are not enjoying the weather today, you should be - before Hurricane Ivan comes!

In other news of note, Jonathan started his first day of pre-school yesterday, and poor Matthew is sick. "Under the weather," perhaps?

Wednesday, September 08, 2004

Debate!

I've been invited to speak on the Republican side of a debate being sponsored in Fredericksburg leading up to the November presidential elections. Not that I hope it turns into a debate. . . a frank and honest exchange of ideas would be more appropriate.

Tuesday, September 07, 2004

Quake scientist vows to learn from mistakes

I posted on this awhile back. The prediction failed, which is unfortunate.

Let's Go To the Underground. . .

Secret Parisian caves? Yep. . . it seems as if there was a previously uncharted ampitheatre in the Parisian catacombs that was recently discovered:
A smaller cave next door had been turned into an informal restaurant and bar. 'There were bottles of whisky and other spirits behind a bar, tables and chairs, a pressure-cooker for making couscous,' the spokesman said.

'The whole thing ran off a professionally installed electricity system and there were at least three phone lines down there.'

Three days later, when the police returned accompanied by experts from the French electricity board to see where the power was coming from, the phone and electricity lines had been cut and a note was lying in the middle of the floor: 'Do not,' it said, 'try to find us.'
Secret societies are rumored to hide in the catacombs, most of which are relatively harmless, but have the reputation of being rather risque.

Friday, September 03, 2004

$9 Trillion Didn't End Poverty -- What to Do?

Another brilliant op-ed from the CATO Institute:
Despite all this common sense, Democrats refuse to endorse welfare reform that would emphasize actual work experience. They would spend money to send single moms to college or train them in a specific skill for which there may be no demand in the job market. Republicans are not doing much better by encouraging social spending on programs like marriage initiatives, suggesting that coupling off the poor will somehow raise them out of poverty. In the past 40 years, we have spent at least $8.9 trillion (in constant 2003 dollars) on the "war on poverty." Isn't it time that one of the candidates admit we cannot spend our way out of poverty?

If education, pregnancy prevention, and employment are the solutions to poverty, we need a candidate that advocates policies that promote them. Education reform, including school choice, would provide a real opportunity for children to start on an equal playing field, prevent "at risk" students from dropping out, and produce a more competitive national workforce. Pregnancy prevention programs need to educate teenagers about how to avoid pregnancy, as well as emphasize the life-altering repercussion of parenthood as a minor. Finally, job growth results from a dynamic economy. Lower taxes, less regulation on business and industry, and freer trade would produce the jobs necessary to escape the bonds of poverty.
Many people get a bit upset when I tell them that American conservativism (the Russell Kirk brand) is really a milder form of socialism. Kirk says so himself, but most self-styled conservatives really don't understand this is the approach to governance that conservative political philosophy embraces.

So in case you are wondering, yes - I am very concerned about the multitude of social programs announced by the President last night. Don't get me wrong - Bush is far better than the alternative, but I can't help but wonder how much farther down the rabbit hole of social spending programs we have to travel. . .

A Goldwater Revival?

George Will opines on the topic of a possible revival of classical liberal values within the Republican Party in the wake of the New York GOP Convention:
Four decades after a Republican convention in San Francisco nominated Sen. Goldwater, sealing the ascendancy of conservatism in the party, his kind of conservatism made a comeback at the convention here. That conservatism -- muscular foreign policy backing unapologetic nationalism; economic policies of low taxation and light regulation; a libertarian inclination regarding cultural questions -- is not fully ascendant in the party. But the prominent display and rapturous reception of Rudy Giuliani and Arnold Schwarzenegger demonstrated that such conservatism is not an insurmountable impediment to a person's reaching the party's highest echelons.
Where George Will makes his mistake is in assuming that the rise of the old Goldwater libertarianism means an utter reversal of the social conservative platform:
The Republican Party's challenge is to keep its old fissures closed while relaxing the stringency of its social issues catechism. Republicans can derive encouragement from a long-lived coalition that was composed of elements far more discordant than a Republican Party that includes John Ashcroft as well as Giuliani and Schwarzenegger. FDR's "Roosevelt Coalition," which was born with the New Deal and did not crumble for four decades, balanced Northern liberals, intellectuals, organized labor and Southern segregationists.

*snip*

The Republican Party remains firmly on the side of the pro-life and religiously motivated social conservatives. But here this week the party began in earnest the task of making others not only more comfortable within the party but eligible to rank among its leaders.
The libertarian wing of the party takes hope, not in the relaxation of social issues, but in staring down the inevitable slide conservatives have taken towards social programs such as Social Security, Medicare, the backing of public education, and the like.

Will is very correctly assuaging the libertarian flair many Republicans possess. But what he misses is the fact that the old Goldwater flame is being fanned not because of the policies of this president, but in spite of them.

There is much room for libertarian-minded Republicans who are obstinately pro-life. In fact, it is the future of the party.

The question is whether or not the massive deficit spending, the bloated federal government under a Republican watch, and a typical political waffling on the more critical social issues of our time will send them clamoring to a Libertarian Party that will offer them more than temporary lip service.

Will is right to address the classical liberals within the GOP. But they are not the RINOs. The Republicans-In-Name-Only are the moderates who continue to promote big government programs in the name of Republican values.

One would be hard pressed to find a classical liberal of Goldwater's stripe that would embrace the ideals and principles of Giuliani or Schwarzenegger.

Wednesday, September 01, 2004

Republicans for Miller!!!

I think I may have found the one Democrat I would ever consider voting for. . .
Time after time in our history, in the face of great danger, Democrats and Republicans worked together to ensure that freedom would not falter. But not today.

Motivated more by partisan politics than by national security, today's Democratic leaders see America as an occupier, not a liberator.

And nothing makes this Marine madder than someone calling American troops occupiers rather than liberators.

Tell that to the one-half of Europe that was freed because Franklin Roosevelt led an army of liberators, not occupiers.

Tell that to the lower half of the Korean Peninsula that is free because Dwight Eisenhower commanded an army of liberators, not occupiers.

Tell that to the half a billion men, women and children who are free today from the Baltics to the Crimea, from Poland to Siberia, because Ronald Reagan rebuilt a military of liberators, not occupiers.
That speech, given to delegates who had been harrassed from day one, and to Americans who support the war on terror and the war in Iraq in the face of leftist radicals. . . that is a knockout blow.

Everyone should take the opportunity to read Senator Miller's remarks to the GOP convention. What a great speech.

 

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ShaunKenney.com is one of Virginia's oldest political blogs, focusing on the role of religion and politics in public life. Shaun Kenney, 30, lives in Fluvanna County, Virginia.

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