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Monday, October 31, 2005j's notes: Kaine by 4 (and why he's wrong)Well, the pundits are calling the shots now, and Kenney the Younger has made his prediction: All polls are showing that the race between Kaine and Kilgore (and that other guy) is more or less a dead heat. But polls are meaningless. What matters is whether or not people turn up to vote the way they say they will.Here's the recent lineup of polls in Virginia, and while the polls here may show Kaine up by 1.2%, I'm going to explain why Kilgore is going to win in four short little letters. GOTV. Kilgore has it, Kaine doesn't. We have a better program under one banner. Kaine has MoveOn.org and a host of other 527 mercenaries. That's why the Democratic senators wanted to see Kaine by five, because they know it just as well as we do. What sinks us? Depends on what goes on in Washington to be honest, and there's not much Kilgore can do about that. One thing is for sure though, the fate of Kilgore lies with conservatives alone. We either pick a fella whom we can work with, or we pick Tim Kaine. If the thought of a $2 billion tax hike guarenteed tickles you, stay home. If not, Kilgore needs your vote on 08 November. In short, unless something tragic happens, conservatives are going to rally 'round the flag (especially after our new SCOTUS nominee seems to be the real deal rather than a moderate squish) and reinforce their Republican majority. The threat of a Kilgore veto is enough to kill any tax hike from the Senate, not to mention the body shot the Dems and the moderate Republicans will take from a Kaine/Potts drubbing.
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JEFFERSONIAD POLL: Whom do you support for Virginia Attorney General?1) John Brownlee2) Ken Cuccinelli AboutShaunKenney.com is one of Virginia's oldest political blogs, focusing on the role of religion and politics in public life. Shaun Kenney, 30, lives in Fluvanna County, Virginia.ContactThe Jeffersoniad
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