Tuesday, October 18, 2005Kaine by 2Norman Leahy is offering his thoughts on the new Survey USA poll. Support for Kilgore among Republicans is down, support for Kaine among Democrats is up. Norm has some other insights as well: Interesting, too, that in this poll the survey pool was slightly larger than last time. I have no idea whether that makes any difference in the numbers. It looks like another noticeable drop in Kilgore's numbers comes in the 18-34 age group. I thought last time, when he held a lead here, it was surprising. Now, it seems the members of this cohort were just as surprised and broke more for Kaine (though Kilgore maintains an advantage...still surprising).Chad Dotson over at Commonwealth Conservative has some thoughts as well: I’m a tiny bit surprised by the results, but honestly, this poll just shows what we all have known for a while: this is a close race. In the end, Republicans will break late, as they usually do in Virginia. This poll shows Kaine getting 90-percent of Democrats, but Kilgore only 81-percent of Republicans. The GOP will come home in the end; of that, I feel confident.I'm a bit concerned that Republican base support is floating away, while the death penalty ads have rallied the Dems around their candidate. Which raises the question: did the Kilgore campaign release the death penalty ads too early, so as to give Kaine a chance to respond? I don't think so, and here's why. Kilgore needed to get those ads out so as to establish that Kaine really is a "have your cake and eat it too" candidate. Now that we have Kaine established as such on the death penalty, where is Kaine on taxes, transportation, and other issues the conservative base really cares about? This poll isn't a stalemate; it's the prelude to checkmate. I like it.
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JEFFERSONIAD POLL: Whom do you support for Virginia Attorney General?1) John Brownlee2) Ken Cuccinelli AboutShaunKenney.com is one of Virginia's oldest political blogs, focusing on the role of religion and politics in public life. Shaun Kenney, 30, lives in Fluvanna County, Virginia.ContactThe JeffersoniadArchivesMarch 2002 April 2002 May 2002 June 2002 July 2002 August 2002 September 2002 October 2002 November 2002 December 2002 January 2003 February 2003 March 2003 April 2003 May 2003 June 2003 July 2003 August 2003 September 2003 October 2003 November 2003 December 2003 January 2004 February 2004 March 2004 April 2004 May 2004 June 2004 July 2004 August 2004 September 2004 October 2004 November 2004 December 2004 January 2005 February 2005 June 2005 July 2005 August 2005 September 2005 October 2005 November 2005 December 2005 January 2006 February 2006 March 2006 April 2006 May 2006 June 2006 July 2006 August 2006 September 2006 October 2006 November 2006 December 2006 January 2007 February 2007 April 2007 June 2007 July 2007 August 2007 September 2007 October 2007 November 2007 December 2007 January 2008 February 2008 March 2008 April 2008 May 2008 June 2008 July 2008 August 2008 September 2008 October 2008 November 2008 December 2008 January 2009
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