Friday, April 28, 2006

Virginia Centrist: GNOSIS DAMMIT!

Virginia Centrist has some thoughts about Jason's and my comments on why Miller is objectively a stronger candidate than Webb.

He lists five of our collective arguments, but in the end he cites the trump card:
What throws Kenney brothers off is that they're not tied into the Democratic party like us Democratic activists are.
Miller is a better candidate because:

(1) Miller can beat Allen.
(2) Webb + Tailhook = Scandal.
(3) Miller raised more money than Webb.
(4) Miller has more money than Webb.
(5) Miller has the unqualified support of African-Americans.
(6) Webb is a turncoat Republican. Miller is a tried-and-true Democrat.

Now no, I am not a Democrat. My opinions are my own, and I'm not suggesting to anyone that either candidate is an "easier" candidate. That's politically foolish, and those with a modicum of experience in politics know that much.

Miller is a stronger opponent than Webb. It doesn't take a prerequisite of "true believer" to deduce this, nor does it take some special kind of inner knowledge endowed by virtue of being a Democrat.

What it does take is an ability to separate emotion from reason, and during campaign season Deaniacs could never see the writing on the wall -- for precisely that problem. Will Webb '06 endure the same lesson?

This problem of not being able to separate emotion from reason isn't an entirely Democratic or "leftie" problem (though Republicans might smirk and offer the "thinkers vs. feelers" distinction). But it does offer shades of what went wrong in 2004, and how that is trickling down to Democratic campaigns in Virginia.

That's all.

3 Comments:

At 11:15 PM, Blogger .... said...
I can see so scared of Webb that their even working for the other guy, this is great!

Jim Webb for US Senate!
-For Real Leadership and Mainstream Values

 

At 10:32 AM, Blogger D.J. McGuire said...
Shaun,

What polling has Miller running better against Allen than Webb? All I've seen has them both relatively in the same place (about 10-15 points back).

BTW, Miller's only real shot against Allen is if the Senator were to morph into Jerry Kilgore (and I don't see that happening).

 

At 10:48 AM, Blogger Shaun Kenney said...
Rasmussen -- but keep in mind that while Miller may do better against Webb in those polls, both are indeed back by 10-15%.

All that having been said, Miller does better in the polls, and Miller has more $$$ (as in Mark Warner kind of money).

We'll see... far be it from me to participate in a Democratic primary.

 

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ShaunKenney.com is one of Virginia's oldest political blogs, focusing on the role of religion and politics in public life. Shaun Kenney, 30, lives in Fluvanna County, Virginia.

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