Monday, May 15, 2006

j's notes: Reading the Tea Leaves

Jason Kenney has a great post on the impact of endorsements for Webb and Miller. Great quote embedded from Margaret Edds of the Virginia Pilot:
In a low-turnout primary, which most are, Miller enjoys one other advantage. As noted by Wise County Circuit Court Clerk Jack Kennedy, a stalwart of Democratic politics in the southwest: "Most of the people who’ve endorsed him can vote in that primary."
Most of the legislators are from Northern Virginia as well, and unfortunately for Webb, Harry Reid doesn't exactly have a voting machine in Virginia.

No matter who wins, if those supporting Webb are true to their word, it looks as if a divided Democratic Party will be approaching Senator Allen in November 2006. If Webb wins, he runs knowing a number of influential Democratic state office holders are lukewarm at best about having a former Republican at the helm.

Still, the tea leaves are reading Miller. We'll see.

10 Comments:

At 12:29 PM, Blogger Dvt guy said...
EVERY SINGLE Miller endorsee will support Webb strongly in the General...

Some support for Miller is lukewarm or motivated by personal friendship...

There is no split in the Virginia Democratic party...

 

At 4:13 PM, Blogger Riley said...
Riiiiiigggggghhhhhhttttttttt.........

 

At 4:14 PM, Blogger Riley said...
The question is, if Miller wins, will the Webbsters support him?

 

At 4:24 PM, Blogger Riley said...
This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.

 

At 4:25 PM, Blogger Riley said...
That's it. We have a new name (and mascott) for the Webb bloggers -- Webbsters.

Here's their mascott:

http://tvphotogalleries.com/data/597/1emmanuel8299.jpg

 

At 4:57 PM, Blogger Jason Kenney said...
Riley, the conversation on if Webbsters would support Miller has already begun and it's not looking pretty:

http://www.virginiacentrist.com/2006/05/what-if-miller-wins.html

Talk of actively working AGAINST Miller. They're asking to lose...

 

At 4:59 PM, Blogger Dvt guy said...
That post was tongue and cheek...

besides, if Miller wins, who cares what anyone does? They can sacrifice virgins for all I care, it won't help Miller against Allen.

 

At 5:21 PM, Blogger Jason Kenney said...
VC - The post may have been, but the comments speak volumes.

 

At 9:02 PM, Blogger Dvt guy said...
You can always find crazy impassioned people on the internet.

You're probably right that Miller will be in trouble if he gets the nomination. The Dem activist community is firmly behind Webb. I think Miller will have a hard time putting together a grassroots campaign.

With Webb - I'm really serious - these legislators are lukewarm for Miller. Some are friends with him...but they have no grudge against Webb...

 

At 10:06 PM, Blogger Shaun Kenney said...
typing from the ol' cell phone here...

Webbsters are going to have serious problems when Miller finally wins this (and I'm now convinced that the shrillness of the Webbsters confirms what the polls are saying). Will they support a guy they have utterly decimated online?

A divisive primary is great news for us Republicans. Keep up the great work, fellas!

 

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