Sunday, May 28, 2006

Too Conservative: 57-43 Miller

Vince over at Too Conservative is predicting a Harris Miller victory over James Webb, 57-43.

I'm starting to hear rumors as well that Miller is doing much better than expected.

Yes, I've been beating the drum that Miller is the one to watch, but not because I'm rooting for him. Miller can self-finance in a national climate that sees DNC money going to races they can win (Pennsylvania for instance, where Rick Santorum is in deep trouble).

Webb cannot, and while he may make a great candidate and I expect to see him around again, he will not get the kind of money necessary to make him a viable candidate against Senator Allen.

My prediction? 55-45 Miller, unless a "Republicans for Webb" effort gets off the ground as payback for open primaries to elect the weaker of the two (and to date, it doesn't exist).

5 Comments:

At 10:32 PM, Blogger Charles said...
THe funny thing is the democrats think republicans want to cross over to vote for miller.

I'm not that worried about miller, because I think he has been damaged in this fight. Of course, bloggers reach a small percentage of the electorate, but disproportianately those who are active in elections.

If Miller wins, will Raising Kaine ever be able to get over their hatred for him and mount an effective support effort, like they did for Kaine last year?

 

At 10:51 PM, Blogger Shaun Kenney said...
Why though?

(a) No incentive to get involved.
(b) Most Republicans see Allen as near-invincible.
(c) No animosity towards Webb or Miller, no love for Webb or Miller.

I don't see much crossover this time around, unless something really strange happens in the next three weeks.

 

At 11:58 PM, Blogger David said...
If Miller wins, the race is over. He can spend all the money he wants, he'll still be completely unappealing. Allen will be able to find all of the opposition research he wants - all his staff has to do is read Democratic blogs.

 

At 9:47 PM, Blogger Dvt guy said...
AHHH!!!!!!!!!!!

Shaun. I've spoken to people at the DNC. They say that if Miller wins, they de-target this race and move on to other pastures.

If Webb wins, they raise money for him.

JESUS!!!

 

At 9:59 PM, Blogger Shaun Kenney said...
Who'd you speak to at DNC?

My understanding is that there's no money to go around... and that's from a pretty darned good source, too.

 

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