Sunday, May 28, 2006Too Conservative: 57-43 MillerVince over at Too Conservative is predicting a Harris Miller victory over James Webb, 57-43. I'm starting to hear rumors as well that Miller is doing much better than expected. Yes, I've been beating the drum that Miller is the one to watch, but not because I'm rooting for him. Miller can self-finance in a national climate that sees DNC money going to races they can win (Pennsylvania for instance, where Rick Santorum is in deep trouble). Webb cannot, and while he may make a great candidate and I expect to see him around again, he will not get the kind of money necessary to make him a viable candidate against Senator Allen. My prediction? 55-45 Miller, unless a "Republicans for Webb" effort gets off the ground as payback for open primaries to elect the weaker of the two (and to date, it doesn't exist).
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JEFFERSONIAD POLL: Whom do you support for Virginia Attorney General?1) John Brownlee2) Ken Cuccinelli AboutShaunKenney.com is one of Virginia's oldest political blogs, focusing on the role of religion and politics in public life. Shaun Kenney, 30, lives in Fluvanna County, Virginia.ContactThe JeffersoniadArchivesMarch 2002 April 2002 May 2002 June 2002 July 2002 August 2002 September 2002 October 2002 November 2002 December 2002 January 2003 February 2003 March 2003 April 2003 May 2003 June 2003 July 2003 August 2003 September 2003 October 2003 November 2003 December 2003 January 2004 February 2004 March 2004 April 2004 May 2004 June 2004 July 2004 August 2004 September 2004 October 2004 November 2004 December 2004 January 2005 February 2005 June 2005 July 2005 August 2005 September 2005 October 2005 November 2005 December 2005 January 2006 February 2006 March 2006 April 2006 May 2006 June 2006 July 2006 August 2006 September 2006 October 2006 November 2006 December 2006 January 2007 February 2007 April 2007 June 2007 July 2007 August 2007 September 2007 October 2007 November 2007 December 2007 January 2008 February 2008 March 2008 April 2008 May 2008 June 2008 July 2008 August 2008 September 2008 October 2008 November 2008 December 2008 January 2009
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5 Comments:
I'm not that worried about miller, because I think he has been damaged in this fight. Of course, bloggers reach a small percentage of the electorate, but disproportianately those who are active in elections.
If Miller wins, will Raising Kaine ever be able to get over their hatred for him and mount an effective support effort, like they did for Kaine last year?
(a) No incentive to get involved.
(b) Most Republicans see Allen as near-invincible.
(c) No animosity towards Webb or Miller, no love for Webb or Miller.
I don't see much crossover this time around, unless something really strange happens in the next three weeks.
Shaun. I've spoken to people at the DNC. They say that if Miller wins, they de-target this race and move on to other pastures.
If Webb wins, they raise money for him.
JESUS!!!
My understanding is that there's no money to go around... and that's from a pretty darned good source, too.
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